Friday Wrap
In plain terms: The biggest weekly move came from BWET at +16.9%, which helps show whether crude, equities, or shipping led the tape....
Source post
CL1 $71.64 +4.9% | Brent $76.72 +7.2% across the main crude-linked proxies. USO +4.8% | BNO +4.1% XLE +3.0% | XOP +3.1% See signals before the move ->
Follow-up context
In plain terms: The biggest weekly move came from BWET at +16.9%, which helps show whether crude, equities, or shipping led the tape....
Paths: Up if supply-risk headlines keep tightening inventories, Brent-WTI structure, cracks, and oil beta together. Flat if the headline premium stays mostly in crude while equities and physicals o...
More notes in the system
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 723.1 MMbbl (+11.3 w/w). SPR sits at 298.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1021.8 MMbbl. Commercial: 723.1 MMbbl (+11.3 w/w) SPR: 298.7 MMbbl (-6.1 w/w)
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 0.83$/bbl with a -0.44 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 0.83$/bbl 5-session move: -0.44 Monday setup: start with prompt WTI structure so the week begins from a balance read, not just a headline price level.
Friday Wrap
CL1 $82.09 +4.2% | Brent $87.64 +3.8% on the week. USO +6.0% | BNO +6.0% XLE +6.2% | XOP +7.7% What this means: Crude and energy equities moved together to the upside, which is a cleaner bullish confirmation than a commodities-only bounce.