Recurring market reads that explain what mattered after the chart and before the next trade.
Market Notes are the deeper public layer: weekly setups, EIA interpretation, structure reads, and the frameworks traders can keep returning to between headline bursts.
We publish the framework, the read, and the takeaway. The live platform keeps the faster workflow: exact thresholds, deeper panels, and SMS, email, and Slack alerts.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 723.1 MMbbl (+11.3 w/w). SPR sits at 298.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1021.8 MMbbl. Commercial: 723.1 MMbbl (+11.3 w/w) SPR: 298.7 MMbbl (-6.1 w/w)
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 0.83$/bbl with a -0.44 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 0.83$/bbl 5-session move: -0.44 Monday setup: start with prompt WTI structure so the week begins from a balance read, not just a headline price level.
Friday Wrap
CL1 $82.09 +4.2% | Brent $87.64 +3.8% on the week. USO +6.0% | BNO +6.0% XLE +6.2% | XOP +7.7% What this means: Crude and energy equities moved together to the upside, which is a cleaner bullish confirmation than a commodities-only bounce.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 711.8 MMbbl (-0.4 w/w). SPR sits at 304.8 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1016.6 MMbbl. Commercial: 711.8 MMbbl (-0.4 w/w) SPR: 304.8 MMbbl (-2.8 w/w)
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 1.04$/bbl with a -0.35 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 1.04$/bbl 5-session move: -0.35 Monday setup: start with prompt WTI structure so the week begins from a balance read, not just a headline price level.
Friday Wrap
CL1 $76.88 -9.2% | Brent $81.91 -6.8% on the week. USO -6.8% | BNO -4.6% XLE -1.4% | XOP -4.5% What this means: Crude and energy equities sold off together, which is the cleaner sign of a broad risk-off or softer-demand read.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 712.2 MMbbl (-11.0 w/w). SPR sits at 307.6 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1019.8 MMbbl. Commercial: 712.2 MMbbl (-11.0 w/w) SPR: 307.6 MMbbl (-3.8 w/w)
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 2.36$/bbl with a -0.17 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 2.36$/bbl 5-session move: -0.17 Monday setup: start with prompt WTI structure so the week begins from a balance read, not just a headline price level.
Friday Wrap
CL1 $85.24 -5.8% | Brent $88.37 -10.2% on the week. USO -8.6% | BNO -7.1% XLE -0.7% | XOP -0.4% What this means: Crude and energy equities diverged just enough that the market still looks selective rather than one-way.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 723.1 MMbbl (-3.0 w/w). SPR sits at 311.4 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1034.6 MMbbl. Commercial: 723.1 MMbbl (-3.0 w/w) SPR: 311.4 MMbbl (-5.1 w/w)
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 3.24$/bbl with a +0.73 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 3.24$/bbl 5-session move: +0.73 Monday setup: start with prompt WTI structure so the week begins from a balance read, not just a headline price level.
Friday Wrap
CL1 $89.85 +8.9% | Brent $97.94 +11.1% on the week. USO +16.9% | BNO +14.3% XLE +4.1% | XOP +5.5% What this means: Crude and energy equities moved together to the upside, which is a cleaner bullish confirmation than a commodities-only bounce.
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at -0.03$/bbl with a -0.74 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: -0.03$/bbl 5-session move: -0.74 See signals before the move ->
Friday Wrap
CL1 $80.72 +9.3% | Brent $85.99 +9.5% across the main crude-linked proxies. USO +9.8% | BNO +11.0% XLE +3.5% | XOP +5.0% See signals before the move ->
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w). SPR sits at 325.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1059.7 MMbbl. Commercial: 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w) SPR: 325.7 MMbbl (-5.5 w/w) Know if the inventory move is real ->
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 0.28$/bbl with a +0.13 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 0.28$/bbl 5-session move: +0.13 In plain terms: Prompt structure is positive but not extreme, so the balance read is constructive without screaming shortage. See signals before the move ->
Friday Wrap
CL1 $71.64 +4.9% | Brent $76.72 +7.2% across the main crude-linked proxies. USO +4.8% | BNO +4.1% XLE +3.0% | XOP +3.1% See signals before the move ->
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w). SPR sits at 325.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1059.7 MMbbl. Commercial: 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w) SPR: 325.7 MMbbl (-5.5 w/w) Know if the inventory move is real ->
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 0.04$/bbl with a -0.22 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 0.04$/bbl 5-session move: -0.22 In plain terms: Prompt structure is positive but not extreme, so the balance read is constructive without screaming shortage. See signals before the move ->
Friday Wrap
CL1 $68.19 -2.3% | Brent $71.42 -1.2% across the main crude-linked proxies. USO -1.4% | BNO -1.6% XLE -1.2% | XOP -0.0% See signals before the move ->
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 743.3 MMbbl (-15.1 w/w). SPR sits at 331.2 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1074.5 MMbbl. Commercial: 743.3 MMbbl (-15.1 w/w) SPR: 331.2 MMbbl (-9.1 w/w) Know if the inventory move is real ->
Friday Wrap
CL1 $69.83 -9.7% | Brent $72.72 -9.8% on the week. USO -4.8% | BNO -4.6% XLE +0.6% | XOP +0.9% See signals before the move -> See signals before the move ->
Friday Wrap
CL1 $76.95 -9.4% | Brent $79.85 -8.6% on the week. USO -10.8% | BNO -10.7% XLE -5.9% | XOP -6.2% What this means: Crude and energy equities sold off together, which is the cleaner sign of a broad risk-off or softer-demand read.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 790.8 MMbbl (-16.0 w/w). SPR sits at 357.1 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1148.0 MMbbl. Commercial: 790.8 MMbbl (-16.0 w/w) SPR: 357.1 MMbbl (-8.0 w/w)
Friday Wrap
CL1 $84.94 -6.2% | Brent $87.74 -5.8% on the week. USO -5.8% | BNO -6.4% XLE -2.8% | XOP -4.4% What this means: Crude and energy equities sold off together, which is the cleaner sign of a broad risk-off or softer-demand read.
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 806.8 MMbbl (-12.4 w/w). SPR sits at 365.1 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1171.9 MMbbl. Commercial: 806.8 MMbbl (-12.4 w/w) SPR: 365.1 MMbbl (-9.1 w/w)
Start the week with confirmation checks, not just a macro opinion.
A useful Monday setup is less about picking a narrative and more about listing the structure, flow, and inventory signals that would confirm or break that narrative by midweek.
Structure often explains the move better than the loudest headline.
By Friday, the cleaner read is whether spreads, cracks, inventories, and freight all leaned the same way or whether the week was driven by a headline that never fully earned confirmation.
Commercial crude tells the cleaner prompt-balance story than SPR.
The commercial stock print usually does more of the directional work, while SPR is better treated as reserve-policy context than a like-for-like prompt-balance signal.