Saturday Research
Main miss: Brent 1d called Bullish 92%, but the realized move was -2.4%. Clues: Supply disruption +3.6% | Chokepoint risk +78.6% | Oil-bullish news +71.4%
Source post
Latest resolved crude calls went 1/2 right. Main miss was Brent 1d. CL1 1d HIT | Bearish 1% | -2.0% CL1 5d OPEN | Bearish 2% | n/a Get the deeper structure read ->
Follow-up context
Main miss: Brent 1d called Bullish 92%, but the realized move was -2.4%. Clues: Supply disruption +3.6% | Chokepoint risk +78.6% | Oil-bullish news +71.4%
Live lean into next week: Brent 1d Bullish 92%. Latest clues: Supply disruption +3.6% | Chokepoint risk +78.6% | Oil-bullish news +71.4% Get the deeper structure read ->
More notes in the system
Saturday Research
Latest resolved crude calls went 0/2 right. Main miss was CL1 1d. CL1 1d MISS | Bearish 9% | +1.2% CL1 5d OPEN | Bearish 0% | n/a Get the deeper structure read ->
Saturday Research
Latest resolved crude calls went 1/2 right. Main miss was CL1 1d. CL1 1d MISS | Bullish 58% | -1.2% CL1 5d OPEN | Bearish 0% | n/a Get the deeper structure read ->
CL1 -3.1% on the latest session.
CL1 -3.1% on the latest session to $77.72. Same-session ETFs: USO +0.0% | BNO +0.0% Same-session equities: XLE +0.0% | XOP +0.0% What this means: Futures moved first; now flows, inventories, and oil beta need to confirm it.